Wednesday, February 20, 2008

Turn out the lights?

Is it time to sing the old Willie song for Hillary? Hard to say for sure, but it's getting close to closing time. Maybe she is hoping that it's true that "all the girls get prettier at closing time."

Seriously, she is near the end of the primaries without having knocked out that upstart from Illinois, and will have to decide whether to have a convention fight. My view is that that is a lose-lose proposition, but it is probably her only chance.

Her campaign has gone much the same way as Rudy and Fred's. It appears she thought Obama would be easy to knock out, and she did not gear up for the long haul. Now she is short of money, short of delegates, and short of much hope.

Will she win Texas and Ohio and then Pennsylvania? The Wisconsin results don't seem to give her a lot of hope in Ohio, and my thought is that Obama is rising rapidly in Texas. If I were to bet, it would be on Obama here.

It is apparent that the Clintons never expected Obama to do so well, and that he would surely be out of it by now. Surprise, surprise. Now the Clintons don't have much of a plan for Texas, and their prospects are declining rapidly.

Just last week they had Bill in Texas, and he spent a day out in West Texas, where there are very few Democratic votes. He ended up that day in Austin, but his time would have been much better spent in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio or the Valley. It was a waste out here.

That is just an example of how mistakes have dogged the Clinton campaign. I suspect we will see more. The whole campaign has lacked the professionalism one would have expected from Bill and Hillary.

Now, it is almost certain to come down to a floor fight at the National Convention. No candidate will have the votes to win before then. There is going to be a lot of horse trading between now and convention time.

This is going to be fun to watch.

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